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💰 March Madness Final 4, UFC Allen vs. Curtis 2

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April 06, 2024

Well that was quick wasn’t it?

In what seemed like just a few days, 64 teams were whittled down to 4 in the NCAA Tournament.

We’re left with:

#11 NC State

#1 Purdue

#4 Alabama

#1 UConn

Below are the best Final Four moneyline odds you can find for all four teams as of Sunday (March 31) night:

  • Best Alabama odds: +550 at BetMGM ($20 bet would win $110 and return $130)

  • Best UConn odds: -700 at Caesars ($20 bet would win $2.86 and return $22.86)

  • Best NC State odds: +360 at ESPN Bet ($20 bet would win $72 and return $92)

  • Best Purdue odds: -430 at Caesars ($20 bet would win $4.65 and return $24.65)

Using those odds above, and removing the vig, here is each team’s probability to win their Final Four game

  • Alabama’s probability to beat UConn: 15%

  • UConn’s probability to beat Alabama: 85%

  • NC State’s probability to beat Purdue: 21%

  • Purdue’s probability to beat NC State: 79%

Here’s a fun little chart. Look at the odds for the final four teams to make the final four along the way:

NC State, good on your for beating the odds (and the oddsmakers).

So who will win, and what bets should you make? Relax young (and old) Padawans. We’re here to help.

But first, If you don’t have a sportsbook set, try BetUS or Bovada:

Also, want to get expert advice for professional bettors, see where the sharps are betting and more?  Join our premium letter:

Let’s dive in and get you some bets.

  • March Madness Final 4 - 4/6/24

  • UFC Allen vs. Curtis 2 - 4/6/24

  • NBA - Final Seeding Intensity Matchups

March Madness Final 4

Alright you have a full day of Final Four games.

Let’s run you through the best bets and picks so you can make a little money while you watch.

Let’s dive in:

NC State (#11) vs. Purdue (#1):

First, the lines:

Here are your best picks straight up:

  • NC State +9 (-110 at DraftKings)

  • We still like Purdue to win, but this could be a close one. We don’t recommend taking either moneyline, but if you put a small amount on NC State, it has a much more attractive line.

Here is a great in-game parlay: +320 at DraftKings

  • NC State +9

  • D.J. Horne Over 15.5 points

  • Braden Smith Under 1.5 made 3s

Our Thoughts:

  • Zach Edey's standout performance with 40 points was crucial for Purdue's narrow victory over Tennessee in the Elite Eight, as the rest of the team struggled with a low shooting percentage.

  • NC State, on a nine-game winning streak, boasts a consistent offense led by D.J. Horne and D.J. Burns, and their efficient 3-point defense since the ACC Tournament could be a decisive factor against Purdue's 3-point shooting capabilities.

Alabama (#4) vs. UConn (#1):

First, the lines:

Here are your best picks straight up:

Here is a great in-game parlay: +550 at Bet365

  • UConn team total Over 86.5

  • Mark Sears Over 2.5 threes

  • Tristen Newton Over 6.5 rebounds

Our Thoughts:

  • Alabama's reliance on 3-point shooting clashes with UConn's defensive strength in limiting both the attempts and effectiveness of 3-pointers, presenting a challenging matchup for Alabama.

  • UConn's balanced offense, spearheaded by Tristen Newton and Donovan Clingan, positions them favorably to cover the spread with their efficient 2-point scoring.

Layer any of these bets together for a bigger parlay, and a bigger pay day!

UFC Allen vs. Curtis 2

Plenty of fights to dig in here.

But let’s focus on the headliner.

Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis fight odds:

Pick: Chris Curtis ML (+170 at Bet99)

Pick: Over 2.5 rounds (-150 at Bet99)

Our Thoughts:

  • Brendan Allen's grappling advantage is neutralized by Chris Curtis's excellent takedown defense, making this a tough stylistic matchup for Allen.

  • Curtis's strengths in boxing and durability, combined with the smaller Apex octagon favoring his style, put the value on Curtis if the fight primarily remains standing.

Tale of the tape:

NBA Seeding Matchups

I don’t know if you’ve been watching the NBA lately, but the play In addition is doing it’s job. The regular season intensity has ratcheted up and these games look like playoff games.

There are a bunch of matchups this weekend, with a bevy of them on Sunday, so you can wash down the Final Four with some NBA.

Here are the current best bets (at current odds):

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Take Philadelphia on the Moneyline -800 @ FanDuel

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Take Denver on the Moneyline -720 @ FanDuel

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets

Take Brooklyn on the Moneyline -310 @ FanDuel

Meme Money

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Ok this is too good of a clap back.

From the movie:

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